steps 2 SnG, flop top two, worst river in deck

[baudib]

would you bet flop/turn bigger to make it an easy shove on river?
Villain is 38/20 over a small sample.

No Limit Holdem Tournament
8 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Step 2 (Turbo)

Stacks:
UTG (1,545)
UTG+1 (1,395)
MP1 (1,290)
MP2 (1,430)
CO (2,440)
BTN (400)
SB (2,120)
Hero (BB) (2,880)

Blinds: 40/80

Pre-Flop: (120, 8 players) Hero is BB
4 folds, CO raises to 160, 2 folds, Hero calls 80

Flop: (360, 2 players)
Hero bets 240, CO calls 240

Turn: (840, 2 players)
Hero bets 640, CO calls 640

River: (2,120, 2 players)
[color=#cc0000][b]Hero?

[fulksy]

gross river but i still shove he has worse hands in his range that will call, bet sizing seems fine to me

[Nakamura]

Turn sizing seems fine. I might have bet flop stronger based on the texture, but 240 is ok too.

Yuck .... I can't decided whether shove river or checking is better. I guess it depends on whether he is more of a station or a bluffer. I think 2 pair raises the turn, so his range likely seems like the nuts, Ax or a PP he can't release.

[baudib]

While he might open more often from CO, he can't have many flush draws in his range except precisely a royal flush or K9dd/T9dd and presumably some of those he'd raise on the flop.

I wonder if we can bet-fold small on the river?

[fulksy]

Even if you bet like 1/4 pot if he shoves you'll be getting over 3-1 I don't know if
I could fold, maybe c/c is better then.

[drmcboy]

well the 9d seems worse!

river seems like a flip, I would either jam or c/c.

I do not like flop lead, would usually c/c flop then c/r turn or bet river. I would expect 38/20 to bet this flop close to 100%.

[baudib]

hmmm, i felt a 38/20 guy has all Ax in his range and would spazz with most of it as well as some random air but i like your line better.