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$26, shallow with double-gutter facing pot lead

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  1. #1

    Default $26, shallow with double-gutter facing pot lead

    Villain is a 35/3 fish over about 50 hands. Doing a lot of limping and hadn't been that aggro postflop. When he did bet it was always a pot bet. The BTN is 21/7 and seems to be a weak player.

    I have trouble guessing my implied odds and figuring out if they are good enough make a 'bad call' in terms of direct odds (if I expect him to pot the turn a lot, I have to fold and only get to see a turn card). I don't expect him to be bluffing too often. I might not stack him if I hit a deuce, but maybe get 1 bet in. If I catch a 6 or I manage to backdoor flush him I think I'd double up or get close to it

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2500/5000 Blinds 600 Ante (8 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (BB) (t159999)
    UTG (t62211)
    UTG+1 (t101585)
    MP1 (t183400)
    MP2 (t90586)
    CO (t361913)
    Button (t109002)
    SB (t101380)

    Hero's M: 13.01

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 5
    4 folds, CO calls t5000, Button calls t5000, 1 fold, Hero checks

    Flop: (t22300) 3, 4, A (3 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets t22300, 1 fold, Hero ...
  2. #2
    Seems like all options are bad since there's zero chance a semi-bluff raise will work so um I guess fold.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  3. #3
    Donk betting the flop seems good to me. As played I dunno, it doesn't seem good to call a psb with the prospect of having to face another psb on the turn.
    Quote Originally Posted by Fnord View Post
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  4. #4
    chardrian's Avatar
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    as long as he isn't bluffing (which he rarely is) you are going to stack him a HUGE percentage of the time here whether u hit the 2 or 6. Tards can't fold top pair here ever and he will just continue to mash the bet pot button. Whether you have 130k or 155k means very little to you in terms of how you can play that stack. Having 340k - especially on Tilt where we so often have to shortstack ninja it is super useful.

    I call with the plan of folding a non 2 or 6 turn.
    http://chardrian.blogspot.com
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