KK, dryish flop, A hits on turn ($16)

[Nakamura]

Not many hands on villain. I think I had 5 hands on him and he came in for a raise with 3 of them. With the cold-call PF, I think we can assume that he's not particularly good. A decent player will realise our range is strong and fold most hands, jam KK+ and sometimes AK/QQ, bad players seem happy to call/get it in with worse in these spots.

Given his PF play and flop call, I put him on a range of most PPs, AQ+, diamond broad-ways, some random hands like A6 or A8 and a couple of bluffs he floats us with intending to take the pot away from us if we check the turn.

If I bet the turn it just seems to make him continue with the hands that beat us and fold all his bluffs and PPs like 77, 99, TT. He might spazz out with diamond draws but they seem to form a really small part of his range. So the turn seems like a decent spot to double barrel with air and a bad spot to value bet, no?

If we check the turn, what should be the plan on the river?

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PokerStars
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$15+$1

Stacks:
UTG (1,940)
Hero (UTG+1) (1,500)
MP1 (1,240)
MP2 (1,370)
MP3 (1,500)
CO (1,470)
BTN (1,470)
SB (1,480)
BB (1,530)

Blinds: 10/20

Pre-Flop: (30, 9 players) Hero is UTG+1 K K
UTG raises to 60, Hero raises to 180, 7 folds, UTG calls 120

Flop: 6 2 8 (390, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets 260, UTG calls 260

Turn: A (910, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: J (910, 2 players)
UTG bets 460, Hero ???

[taipan168]

Seems like a straight forward call to me, even though I'm less than delighted about it. As you say, given the turn action the river is a fairly straight forward bluff bet for him as it's his last chance to try to take away the pot from you. Getting about 3:1 on the call, he will definitely have the ace sometimes but he only needs to have it less than 75% of the time for you to be ahead here.

Also I think you played the other streets fine, I wouldn't bet the turn either. Perhaps against a player that has been raising so much I might raise a little more preflop.

[fulksy]

yea i call as well, i like your line

[drmcboy]

super close on both turn and river, I don't think it matters much. I do think your range is very tight for someone who has raised 3/5, he'll have a lot more draws than you're giving him credit for so turn bet has some value.

[baudib]

I think betting turn for this amount is slightly superior to checking back and calling river.