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 Originally Posted by griffey24
In my experience, flop min-raises from bad players is very often top pair hands.
Not sure if it represents something diff at these stakes.
Well I'd be _more_ worried about a turn minraise, but I dunno if he does it on the flop with a flushdraw. If he only does it with top pair and sets, then if we give him a generic top 40% range for calling preflop then I guess he does have a lot of Tx, and we have like 70% equity against his sets and tens as a whole.
I also think the turn check after flop raise can easily be something nutted, and although the turn makes Tx less likely, he now has us crushed by his tens.
Even if he minraises 55-99 on the flop "for information" and flats JJ/QQ pre then minraises the flop for value and shuts down when the turn pairs the ten, we still aren't far ahead of his entire range of [QQ-44, 22, ATs, ATo, KTs, KTo, QTs, QTo, JTs, JTo, T9s].
If he's a station, we can vbet the river profitably against [QQ-JJ, 99-77, 55] which is 45% of his range, and if he folds everything other than the overpairs we really can't vbet the river at all.
I guess it depends how much of a station we take him for, after the turn check I do still want to b/f river, but I don't think it's that clear cut after properly analysing his range. One reason I want to bet is so I don't have to be the station when he stabs with a busted flush, but I probably shouldn't be thinking that since I don't think he raises it so often on the flop.
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