Overplay (AA) ???

[BorisTheSpider]

Villain is 20/20, opening the button 20% over 54 hands, this is the first time I've seen him get 3bet.

The turn sizing sets up a river shove. This deep, are you happy just getting the money in on a brick river, and if not, with the stacks and board as they are how are you playing the turn?


Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $50.97 (203.9 bb)
Hero (SB): $38.03 (152.1 bb)
BB: $25 (100 bb)
UTG: $6.41 (25.6 bb)
MP: $85 (340 bb)
CO: $14.07 (56.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A A
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.75, BB folds, BTN calls $2

Flop: ($5.75) K 8 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.50, BTN calls $3.50

Turn: ($12.75) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $7.50, BTN calls $7.50

[The Bean Counter]

How are the combos looking? How many of those call a river jam on brick and non-brick rivers?

[OngBonga]

River is tricky spot seeing as we have two blockers to what we want him to have.

He has 6 combos of AK and maybe 3 KJs, while there's 6 each of 77 88, and 2 of KQs. Seems like we have around 40% equity here. And since he's gonna check behind his KJs and possibly his AK, I'm thinking we should just c/f this river. Easier said than done of course.

[BorisTheSpider]

Yeah, thanks BC and Ong - I actually think the river is a c/f. I always get in these spots where I feel like if he holds AK here he is liable to shove the river but I think Ong is right and he's often checking behind.

We're deep enough that he can setmine preflop, which makes me think that with the stacks as they are I should make that a little less attractive by making it even bigger pre.

I mean, I'm crushed vs. {AK, KQ, QQ, 88, 77} - I think c/f river is definitely best.

[OngBonga]

I'm not convinced he has QQ after calling on K-high flop in 3bet pot. But if he has it then we obv have even less equity come river.