You can't determine probabilities by looking at what's happened in the last 14 hours. What you're experiencing there is variance. 14 hours is not a lot in poker, it's basically like saying if I flip a coin five times and it's heads 4 tails 1, the probability of it being heads is more than the probability of it being tails. That is clearly wrong and is nothing more than an anomoly due to small sample size.

The fact myself and bean have both come to the same answer by different methods should tell you that we're both likely to be right.

The probability of YOU getting QQ+ is a little over 1%, but let's say it's precisely 1% If you go 500 hands without seeing them, then get them six times in the next 100 hands, we're on average. That's variance. The first 500 hands is negative variance (we might call this "card dead"). The next 100 hands is positive variance (we might call this "running hot"). Over the entire 600 hands, it's average.

Variance is a HUGE part of poker, and it's exactly why we have to ensure that we are properly rolled for our stakes, because otherwise negative variance wipes out your bankroll.