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10$ pot, all-in with Nut Flushdraw and Middle Pair

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  1. #1
    My play on the turn was marginally profitable
    we have 14 outs assuming the ranges we gave villains,any A,9 or spade=14outsx2= roughly 28% Equity
    You're assuming your A and 9 are always good, which they're not. And then there's rake. So it's less marginal than you think.

    But I did say I wasn't sure about the turn.

    The play you say to do on the flop is questionable.
    Not at all. How much equity do you suppose you have on the flop? It's certainly more than you have on the turn, yet it's the turn where you put all of your money in. Do you not think there's something wrong with that?
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  2. #2
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    I already did the math argue all you want your wrong
    Show me the math you did.

    I'm happy to admit when I'm wrong and to learn from the mistake.
    Ong, too.

    If you're so confident that you're right and we're wrong, then repay that kindness you keep telling us we have and teach us something.



    But I'm pretty sure your math is failing to take into account the reality of your choices. You can't know his hand, only his range, so you can't say "If he calls with that hand, it's -EV" because that's just not the whole story of what he will call with in that spot.


    Poker isn't about winning this hand.
    Rather, it's about winning this spot.
    Normalize Inter-Community Sense-Making

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