talk about variance

[stuck]

So I posted this thread: http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...pic.php?t=2101

What got me thinking about it was this:

Buy-in	Place	Payout	Payout	Total Profit
11	1	50	39	39
11	6	0	-11	28
11	3	20	9	37
11	2	30	19	56
11	2	30	19	75
11	2	30	19	94
11	5	0	-11	83
11	1	50	39	122
11	6	0	-11	111
11	8	0	-11	100
11	7	0	-11	89
11	2	30	19	108
11	10	0	-11	97
11	8	0	-11	86
11	4	0	-11	75
11	3	20	9	84
11	2	30	19	103
11	1	50	39	142
11	1	50	39	181
11	7	0	-11	170
11	2	30	19	189

I took Toasty's advice and started tracking my SnG results... this was up until a few days ago. Then I thought, I'll get my bankroll up another $30 more and then I'll cash-out $50 and put it in PS. And then, right then, I started a horrible down-slide. I lost *all* of the profit that I had worked to get over the next couple days, with only one 2nd place finish ITM.

Either it was a tremendous hot-streak and I'm really horrible, a cold-streak and I'm actually fairly adequate, my play changing slightly at the thrill of cashing out, or... maybe just a transitional period of instablity where I'm becoming a better player? [/wishful thinking]

In any case, I took a couple days off and went back to the basics yesterday, dropped down to $5+1, and broke about $4 ahead for the day. Today I've placed 3rd, 3rd, 1st in 3 $5+1 for +$27. So hopefully the bad run is over. I'll stick with the $5+1 until I get a bit more of the money I lost back and I'm comfortable.

[DrNoChance]

It takes a big sample size to determine whether or not you are a profitable SnG player. I'm still trying to figure that question out for myself.

Good luck with building the bankroll back up

[davfagan]

How many SNGs at a specific level do you consider a lot Dr? Just curious for my own analysis.

[Toasty]

The Standard is 100 but if you are killing it after 50 the chances are good that you are beating it.

http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...&highlight=may

I still need to finish these off, I think i'll have to dig out the old dbase.