CARDSON
Here is one of those rare examples where folding might make sense no matter what you're holding.


***** Hand History for Game 1156812950 *****
600/1200 TourneyTexasHTGameTable (NL) (Tournament 7061951) - Tue Nov 09 00=
:50:16 EST 2004
Table Table 12355 (Real Money) -- Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 1: KKmose (1260)
Seat 2: RD_Olivaw (830)
Seat 7: sussie04 (1354)
Seat 8: Rocky_Y (4556)
KKmose posts small blind (300)
RD_Olivaw posts big blind (600)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to RD_Olivaw [ 5s, Qs ]
sussie04 calls (600)
Rocky_Y raises (1200) to 1200
KKmose folds.
RD_Olivaw folds.
sussie04 raises (754) to 1354
sussie04 is all-In.
Rocky_Y calls (154)
** Dealing Flop ** : [ 2s, 4s, Jh ]
** Dealing Turn ** : [ 7d ]
** Dealing River ** : [ 7c ]
Creating Main Pot with $3608 with sussie04
** Summary **
Main Pot: 3608 |
Board: [ 2s 4s Jh 7d 7c ]
KKmose balance 960, lost 300 (folded)
RD_Olivaw balance 230, lost 600 (folded)
sussie04 balance 0, lost 1354 [ Td As ] [ a pair of sevens -- As,Jh,Td,7d,7c ]
Rocky_Y balance 6810, bet 1354, collected 3608, net +2254 [ 7s 7h ] [ four of a kind, sevens -- Jh,7s,7h,7d,7c ]


The key here is that the other short stack just calls with half his stack, with the chip leader acting after him. Pretty weak move. Then the chip leader raises him all in as expected. At this point I know that he probably has a hand, and feel like there is a good chance he is ahead. There is also no chance the short stack is going to fold now.

With the cards unknown, I have a 50/50 shot at the short stack losing. Those odds are much better than my Q high holding up 3 handed.

I fold my hand knowing that I don't even have enough to make the SB in the next hand. However I feel like there is a good chance I will get a free pass to 3rd.