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Originally Posted by d0zer
... move up when I' m at 22 BIs for the next level & move down again at 20 ... From 25NL to 50NL I dropped 3 times before it stuck...
There's a HUGE problem with this and you're likely not aware of this, neither was I until I came to a shocking realization by pure accident.
Let me tell you my story:
Some time ago I logged in to Stars and found long forgotten $80. Since I had separate (main) BR elsewhere an idea came: 'gee lets have some fun and insta turn this 80 into 1k'. So I devised a '4BIs' plan - play NL10 with $80 till it hits $100 (4 BIs for NL25) -> play NL25 till $200 (if I lose 2BIs, in this case drop to $50, move back down) -> play NL50 till $400 ( if I drop to $100, move back down) -> play NL100 till 1k. At first I caught some nice heater, but somewhere at ~$300 swings started so I was moving up and down in stakes like crazy. After I dropped back to starting $80 I was eventually sick and gave up with enough FPPs to claim a 'profit' of one T-shirt from FPP store.
This is when things started to get interesting - I loaded data from PT (correctly showing: breakeven) into Poker Grapher just to see how it looks, carefully set starting date/site/sn and ... graph showed - THREE BUY-INS PROFIT! Ummm ... probably mistake with date or sn ... nope everything is correct ... exactly the same number of HHs as in PT ... WTF IS WRONG WITH THIS GRAPH !?? After closer inspection - ahhhh, the graph is in BB units not $$$. And of course $$$ graph showed as it really was. It took me some time to figure out why such a difference between the two graphs when it finally hit me (felt like a hammer) ...
... Let me illustrate: imagine that you take for ex. 3 BI shot at NL100 and you lose and have to drop down to NL50. You are break even, right? BUT, those $300 were made at NL50 which is 6 buyins. Even though you didn't win anything, technically you are 3 buyins up. Blinds are blinds, stacks are stacks, everything is proportional no matter how much $ BB really is. And BIG BLIND/STACK PROPORTION is the only thing that matters. $$$ are irrelevant! Having to drop down is a disaster!!! And this is yet another example of what bad BR management can do to an otherwise ok player.
d0zer, I suggest you revise your strategy in the light of my experience. While 10BI downers are pretty rare, 2BI ones are common. There's a reason why standard 20BI plan says you drop down only when you reach 10BI for present i.e. 20BI for lower level. If you look at it from a different angle then 2BI shots are exactly the same as playing extremely underrolled with 'real life reserves'.
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