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 Originally Posted by Cobra_1878
I'm not so sure. I call the flop and I could quite easily have an 8 here, he may be checking for some pot control. When I check back, it's unlikely I have an 8 so he overbets river. I think that's possible.
Without QQ+ in his range we have 40% equity, maybe shoving would be profitable if we fold out all his bluffs but I think this is bad for two reasons
1) This is a really awesome bluff catcher. The only better hand we can have in this spot is A J and whether or not we get to the river with that hand is debatable.
2) Shoving becomes more profitable the more bluffs he has in his range however so does calling and I'd imagine more so but run some EV calcs to see. If we think villain is folding so much here we'd also have better hands to bluff with which have no showdown value and contain blockers.
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