[10NL] KK...Overpair on wet flop against LAGG.

Also, the range you give him is very nitty, and you forgot two pair, we can better demonstrate the fuckedness of your situation by adding all of the other possible semibluffs he could have:

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ts9s8c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 44.10% 43.14% 0.97% { KhKc }
MP3 55.90% 54.93% 0.97% { QQ-77, QJs, J8s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, AsTs, KsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, 6s5s, As4s, 5s4s, As3s, As2s }


So that's like your best case scenario.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ts9s8c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 61.91% 60.51% 1.40% { KhKc }
CO 38.09% 36.69% 1.40% { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, AJo+, KQo }


You're only 61% vs his entire range on the flop. So checking doesn't really give up a lot of value vs it.

Originally Posted by Renton

Also, the range you give him is very nitty, and you forgot two pair, we can better demonstrate the fuckedness of your situation by adding all of the other possible semibluffs he could have:

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ts9s8c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 44.10% 43.14% 0.97% { KhKc }
MP3 55.90% 54.93% 0.97% { QQ-77, QJs, J8s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, AsTs, KsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, 6s5s, As4s, 5s4s, As3s, As2s }


So that's like your best case scenario.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ts9s8c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 61.91% 60.51% 1.40% { KhKc }
CO 38.09% 36.69% 1.40% { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, AJo+, KQo }


You're only 61% vs his entire range on the flop. So checking doesn't really give up a lot of value vs it.

I'm not very good at putting people on a range and it's something I am working on so I appreciate the time you took to post those ranges. Is it realistic to think that villain is raising and calling a 3bet OOP w/ suited two gappers? I was going to include all Axss as well but just wasn't sure if he would stack off w/ every NFD so that's a mistake on my part.