I agree with Carroters on flop sizing being too big. It looks very draw/bluffy so big. So the only good thing about that is that now the draw comes in. I would expect someone with those stats to be b/3b hands like KQdd/KJdd/QJdd/78dd/6xdd given these are all combo draws on this board, so he has very few flushes imo.
Sizing is really important when you're going to run a multi-street play. The entire execution of a bluff can come down to the sizing you choose on earlier streets and how much stack you leave behind for yourself. You've left yourself less than half pot now in a spot you want to bluff which is not ideal.
I think this is a decent spot board/range wise to bluff, because he has a lot of AxKd, AxQd, AxJd and some A6 sometimes that will c/f river given better sizing.
raise to $1.40 flop
<pot on turn is 3.6>
turn bet $2.45 into $3.60
<pot on river is 8.50>
shove river $6.75 into $8.50
<edit: my bad, villain is shorter than us. I would potentially make it even smaller on the turn, but if we make it smaller on the turn we are widening his calling range so we really need to follow through on the river>
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
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