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[10NL] T9s...3way facing c/r w/ bottom two pair.

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  1. #1

    Default [10NL] T9s...3way facing c/r w/ bottom two pair.

    BB - 38/22/8 (3bet) over 234 hands. FTCB, 50%. Had notes that villain is happy to stack off w/ overpair and two pair on wet flops. Had only seen him c/r once before, he did it on a paired flop w/ a pair.

    MP - 31/23/1 (3bet) over 67 hands. CB 63%.

    PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    UTG: $14.54
    Hero (CO): $10.15
    BTN: $4.64
    SB: $11.30
    BB: $18.83

    SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

    Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 9 T

    UTG raises to $0.27, Hero calls $0.27, fold, fold, BB calls $0.17

    Flop: ($0.86, 3 players) 9 T J
    BB checks, UTG bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80, BB raises to $3.40, fold, Hero ???

    Really not sure what I was doing/should do in this hand.

    I didn't want to raise the flop because I'm not sure I'm happy stacking off on this flop w/ bottom two pair. I thought I could call, see the turn and re-eval.
    Currently grinding live cash games. Life is good.
  2. #2
    I'd just fold the flop versus the check raise. There's an awful lot of combos that we're crushed by, only a few we are flipping with and plenty of horrible turn cards, plus villains just don't check raise light 3-way (particularly with this sizing).
  3. #3
    This is a gross spot. I think this should be a shove or fold spot. Calling sucks pretty hard, especially since villains likely FD flop raises will be combo draws that will jam a brick turn anyhow.

    I would assume, given villains sizing, that we have zero fold equity. So you can pretty much treat this as if villain shoved, and we are calling his shove.

    I think the total pot is 12.34 and we're faced with a 9.08 call, so we need about 42.4% equity to shove here (assuming no fold equity).

    My estimate of ranges is something like:

    Equity Win Tie
    MP2 25.37% 22.79% 2.58% Td9d
    MP3 74.63% 72.04% 2.58% JJ-99, KQs, QTs, JTs, T9s, AsKs, AsQs, QdJd, QcJc, As9s, As8s, 9s8s, KQo
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  4. #4
    Renton's Avatar
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    a little town called none of your goddamn business
    Gotta fold. Even when you're ahead you lose a ton. And you aren't often ahead here.

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