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[5NL] AQo...TPTK facing river shove...villain's range???

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  1. #1

    Default [5NL] AQo...TPTK facing river shove...villain's range???

    Villain is 27/12/15 over 89 hands.

    Only real notes on villain is that I had seen him 3bet AKs and 4bet AQo.

    PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    BTN: $5.17
    SB: $6.54
    BB: $7.54
    UTG: $8.27
    Hero (CO): $5.00

    SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

    Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has A Q

    fold, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, fold, BB calls $0.10

    Flop: ($0.47, 3 players) 7 Q 3
    BB bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, BTN calls $0.30

    Turn: ($1.37, 3 players) 7
    BB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00, fold

    River: ($3.37, 2 players) 8
    BB bets $6.09 and is all-in, Hero ???

    Why has villain gone all-in here? When he overcalls in BB and then donks the flop I thought he may have had a FD or a weak Qx, Q8-QJ something like that.

    He then puts a sizeable bet in on the turn, I don't give villain credit for a 7x hand like 90% of the time, I think on occasion he has A7 but would he lead out with middle pair on the flop? May possibly still have a FD.

    I think around this time I thought he may have called in BB with KQ not wanting to bloat a pot OOP in case both players called. Either way, I was still pretty sure I was ahead of villain's range here.

    He shoves the river. A brick. No draws come in, I highly doubt the 8 has helped his hand. Is this a busted FD? Does he think he is value betting a a worse Q?

    Thoughts?
    Currently grinding live cash games. Life is good.
  2. #2
    Join Date
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    You only have a psb left tho right? Pokerstove time mmmmmm ranges
    In game
    I prolly call who knows if im right.
  3. #3
    Join Date
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    soaking up ethanol, moving on up
    fold
  4. #4
    Not folding vs spazzy type of fish who 4-bets AQ. Usually means he can be more depolarised than you think in other spots and overplay stuff. Not folding to a range of better that contains only boats and 7x when he donks flop and likely has non passive fish tendencies.
    Last edited by Carroters; 07-29-2013 at 08:26 PM.
  5. #5
    rpm's Avatar
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    maaaaaaaaaaate
    i'm snapping him off here i think. he can have tripled some FD's or worse K's and it wouldnt take many combos of worse hands to make this river a call (if my maths is close-ish)
  6. #6
    nh cobra, did you muck, call?

    stubborn fish could have almost anything here. In play, i honestly can't say what i'd do here.
    "We're all just a million little gods causing rainstorms, turning every good thing to rust...."AF

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