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[5NL] KQo...river decision
Villain is 26/18/5 over a decent sample size. Fold to cbet, 43%.
Had seen villain do some strange things, had seen him check the nut flush on the river, OOP. Had seen him call 3bets IP with 64s and 98o. He wasn't as straight forward as his stats suggested.
PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: $1.71
BB: $22.81
Hero (UTG): $10.64
CO: $5.09
BTN: $12.50
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has K Q
Hero raises to $0.20, fold, BTN calls $0.20, SB calls $0.18, BB calls $0.15
Flop: ($0.80, 4 players) Q 3 9
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BTN raises to $1.50, fold, fold, Hero calls $1.10
Turn: ($3.80, 2 players) K
Hero checks, BTN checks
River: ($3.80, 2 players) J
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.55, Hero ???
OK...firstly is flop OK? Should I be calling the raise, it looks pretty strong considering villain has 2 players to act behind, although a lot of 5NL players see a 1/2 PSB or smaller as a sign of weakness so maybe he is trying to get me out the pot.
I doubt villain calls with AQ IP, so what could he be raising? JT/QJ/QT hands along those lines? Maybe 99/33.
He checks behind on the turn. Does he chk a straight here expecting me to bet the river? I chk to c/r which clearly didn't work. I don't think villain checks a set here either.
River is a disgusting card. I can't bet my 2P now so I chk expecting villain to chk behind and he bets.
What to do...what to do?
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