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10$ pot, all-in with Nut Flushdraw and Middle Pair

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  1. #1
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    10,456
    Location
    St Louis, MO
    IF we shove our $2.83 into the pot and lets say only Villain 2 calls and he has enough to make the call then we are given

    Price to call=$2.83/ (POT+PRICE TO CALL)

    $2.83/ ($4.23+2.83=$7.07)
    No. That's not your equity calc for shoving. That's his equity calc for calling.
    They're not the same.

    Your equity calc is
    (% of times he folds)*(value of the pot NOW)
    + (% of times he calls)*(% of times you win when he calls)*(value of the pot after he calls)
    - (% of times he calls)*(% of times you lose when he calls)*(value of the pot after he calls)

    which can be cleaned up a bit with parentheses

    (% of times he folds)*(value of the pot NOW)
    + (% of times he calls)*(value of the pot after he calls)*((% of times you win when he calls) - (% of times you lose when he calls))
    Normalize Inter-Community Sense-Making
  2. #2
    We can use the calculation that I used, nobodies folding both villains are all in

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