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 Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey
It's always about ranges and equities.
The bet OTT may be the best play, if Villain's range is imbalanced to get to that spot.
What's Villain's range to check OTT?
What's Villain's range to continue to Hero's bet OTT?
EV = 0.29*(fold % of Villain's range) + (call % of Villain's range)*(0.43*(hero's equity to win when called) - 0.14(hero's equity to lose when called) + (raise % of Villain's range)((win amount)(probability of win) - (lose amount)(probability of lose))
Our gut tells us what to do in the moment, but our math tells us how to gut in future moments.
This is way over my head. Meet you back here in a few months hopefully.
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