Firstly, great post Carroters. I think this is totally relevant to the BC and increasing your EV at microstakes. I will be revisiting this thread before I start playing again. Juts to clarify I understand what you're tying to say though I'll use an example.

E.g. In a heads-up pot on the river you're going to have a range. For the sake of simplicity let's assume we're IP and it's checked to us. Naturally, we are going to want to make all our profitable value bets in this scenario. We can also increase, decrease, or remove our bluffing range entirely in this spot based on our reads on villain.

So we have a read villain is going to be calling a tonne. So we want to be value betting more and bluffing less, obviously. We can work out using the alpha value what a perfectly balanced betting/bluffing range looks like in this spot. (Unsure if it's exactly perfect, but it's pretty damn close.)

So imagine we are on the river with the stone-cold nuts vs a villain who is calling a high percentage of his range. (More than the bet/(bet+pot) from his perspective.) Whilst there may be a small amount of EV to be gained by bluffing a very small percentage of the time in this spot, the situation is going to come up so rarely that it's kind of insignificant. I.e We are going to arrive at the river with the rock-bottom hand(s) in our range so infrequently that it's far more important to just make all are profitable value bets and not bluff. This will be exploiting the hell out of his calling tendency. If we start thinking, "shit I should be bluffing some of the time here, I could be exploited by just value betting." This type of thinking could lead to us bluffing too often and reducing our overall profitability vs such a station.

So it is actually more practical and profitable to value bet only and never bluff.

Am I understanding the gist of what you're trying to say Carroters?