Calculating the EV of shoving

Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey

It looks good up to here:



Which should be:
1.40 + (1-F)*(5.54 - 4.14)

1.40 + 0.15*(5.54 - 4.14)

1.40 + 0.15*(1.40)

1.40 + 0.21 = 1.61

EDIT: You got some right answers with some terrible notation here:
(F*P) = Villain folds 258 combo's. 258/302 = 0.85
should be:
F = Villain folds 258 combo's. 258/302 = 0.85


E*(P+S) = 1.65 + 8.80 = 10.45
should be:
E*(P+S) = E*(1.65 + 8.80) = E*(10.45)

0.53*10.45 = 5.54

OK, I think I got it now. Will have another attempt at it tomorrow.