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call or fold?

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  1. #1

    Default call or fold?

    IPoker No-Limit Hold'em, €0.20 BB (5 handed) - IPoker Converter Tool from

    Button (€33.54)
    Hero (SB) (€20.20)
    BB (€20.81)
    UTG (€53.16)
    MP (€20.20)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with J, K
    3 folds, Hero raises €0.50, BB calls €0.40

    Flop: (€1.20) A, Q, Q (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB checks

    Turn: (€1.20) 3 (2 players)
    Hero bets €0.60, BB calls €0.60

    River: (€2.40) 10 (2 players)
    Hero bets €4, BB raises €19.61 (All-In),

    HERO ????
  2. #2
    Give us some reads on your opponent.

    Read-less, I would call. You have the nut straight. You only lose to a boat or quad queens; however, I think AQ, AA, and QQ are unlikely given the way it is played, so you're really only worried about QT. I think there is enough Qx in his range to make this a call.
  3. #3
    bet flop, I don't get river overbet, and as played the price is wrong, fold.
  4. #4
    villain is 26/11 but only 263 hands...total agression 1.9, 3bet 2.1%
  5. #5
    Low three bet means villain can def have aq or tt, I would fold, esp after over betting.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  6. #6
    He just shoved over a near 2x pot river bet. I don't think this is a bluff anywhere near often enough to cover the times we're crushed. And Qx is bluffing here unless it's a boat.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  7. #7
    bikes's Avatar
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    brian townsend theorem if you overbet and jam on and don't have the nuts you are never good.
  8. #8
    I have second nuts. It's not Ok to call?
  9. #9
    you don't have the second nuts by a long way
  10. #10
    first nuts qq
    second nuts aa
    third nuts aq
    fourth nuts qt
    fifth nuts tt
    and so on
  11. #11
    villain is unlikely to hold AA or QQ due to pre flop action, so we should be removing those combos from his range.

    AQ is the virtual nuts here, QT TT and 33 bang in his range... that's 6+6+6+6 = 24 combos in his range that beat our hand.

    Bearing in mind he has massively overbet the river, it's looking unlikely he has KQ, but let's give it to him... he can have 8 combos that we beat, and another 9 KJ combos we chop with.

    We... are... crushed... to... hell.

    We do not have anywhere near the 2nd nuts here bro.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  12. #12
    instant fold

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