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 Originally Posted by OngBonga
$1 is too small imo, and yeah this bet is too big. I doubt we're losing here, this is a prime flop for a set to raise. Villain will know he gets no more value from AK, so he'll turn his attention towards the AQ KK+ in our range with sets and raise. So this look like KQ and JT, or he's floating. I'm not sure all that many people will float at pot size, so I'm leaning KQ JT and I'm gonna b/f turn, around 3/4 pot.
Flop I'd have led around the $1.30 mark.
Agree that flop was too big.
If you bet turn 3/4 and are called, are you also b/f a brick river and if so what size.
I think the big issue here is the size of the flop bet, because it snowballs. If I do hit the turn for 3/4 now, it's a big river pot and I've either got to b/f in a pot that's bloating to be out of proportion to the value I think my hand is worth, or I've got to check and then wonder if I get bet into on the river whether I've induced a bluff by checking, or whether he's value towning me. So I think I avoid all that trouble by sizing the flop better in the first place.
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