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Implied Odds

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  1. #1

    Default Implied Odds

    Okay, let us imagine a scenario to hopefully illustrate my question.
    You flop a four-flush on the flop against one opponent, there are then two checks on the flop and the turn card is dealt a blank. Here you will hit your flush card once out of just over 4 times (obviously) on the river, your opponent bets into you, lets say you are getting 3.5 to 1 odds to call, do you call? What about 3 to 1 pot odds? What about around 2.5 to 1 pot odds?
    Let us assume that our opponent is either equal in chips or has us covered (so if we end up all-in we are doubling up if we have the winning hand), that if the flush hits we will win the hand (i.e we have highest flush and no full house/four-of-a-kind available), that we are only allowed to call/fold on the turn (we can't raise/raise all-in here), that we will not call a bet on the end regardless of pot odds if we miss, that you suspect our opponent is highly likely to put us/call all-in (he has trips/straight and you suspect us probably unable to lay it down) and that we are not on the bubble with a very small stack at the table and that we ourselves are not small stack/very big stack.

    Essentially this was a long-winded way of saying to what extent do implied odds allow you to accept slightly unfavourable pot odds?
  2. #2
    Hard to answer in a vacuum, it depends on a few factors:

    - Is my draw to the nuts? (you already said there is no FH/quads possibility)
    - Will my opponent stack off if I hit? It is very obvious to even unobservant players when the third flush card hits, if this happens will they just c/f, or perhaps make a blocking bet and fold to a shove?
    - How big is the bet I have to call relative to my stack size? I guess this impacts the implied odds that I'm getting, but also because as your stack gets shorter each incremental chip you lose becomes more valuable.
  3. #3
    Tai's answer is fine. To add to his point 2, you have better implied odds drawing to a straight than a flush, and better still if you have a gapper vs a connector - 9TJ is a scarier board than 8TJ. Better STILL if there was also a FD out, that missed.

    I would read Theory of Poker and then head over to NLHT&P.

    Raise the flop

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