Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumTournament Poker

KQs stealing opportunity

Results 1 to 5 of 5
  1. #1

    Default KQs stealing opportunity

    I dont have the HH but this was from a Dise $2 rebuy (900+ entrants). The majority of players are very very loose, limping with crap you see people limp at 10/20 blinds.

    Blinds : 600/1200

    Me : 13000
    Hand : BB with KhQh

    UTG limps, MP limps, MP1 limps (1.5BB stack), CO limps, SB completes, Me ???

    The pot was actually 12000 when it got to me, which means if I push and get folds I double up. If I get called I'm probably ~45% At this point ~250 players were still left, 90 are paid. I would say theres a 60% chance I'll get called
  2. #2
    This is a great spot for a push. Even if called you aren'y going to be a huge dog.. assuming you dont have reads UTG limps big hands. I puuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuush.
  3. #3
    OK, but 60% chance you get called by WHAT?

    Called by pocket pairs = 47% equity
    Called by Ace-rag = 40% equity
    Called by undercards/suited junk/K-high = 67% equity

    You could check and see a flop. Go with any kinda pair or draw. If you catch (~35-40%) you are likely to triple up.

    Another way to think about it:
    EV = 0.4 x 12000 + (0.6*.45) * 24000 - (0.6*.55) * -12000

    = 4800 + 6480 - 4280 = ~+6500 by pushing.

    I doubt you will get more EV by stop-and-going, but it's probably close.
  4. #4
    cant put an exact range but it is WIDE

    A8+ 55+ JK+ are all possibilities
  5. #5
    and if you get one caller and win, pretty much triple up.... may be worth the risk here.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •