Set on uber coordinated board - river play?

Yeah, what do I do now?

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $11.84
UTG+1: $53.75
CO: $81.50
Button: $56.37
SB: $66.66
Hero: $52.35

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with 6:diamond: 6:club:
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, 2 folds, SB calls, Hero checks.

Flop: 6:heart: 8:club: 2:spade: ($1.5, 3 players)
SB bets $1, Hero raises to $3, UTG+1 calls, SB calls.

Turn: 4:diamond: ($10.5, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8, UTG+1 calls, SB folds.

River: 3:heart: ($26.5, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $40.26, Hero ???

I'd drop it because I'm a pussy in this type of situation.

I think he has it - crying fold. Considering the board, I don't think he makes that bet with anything you're ahead of, except possibly air - and then only if he's really brave, or really stupid. And I'm not usually trying to run people down in those kinds of situations without a very specific read that has been honed through many hands of playing with the guy.

Overbets like this are either the nuts or total air. A read will determine which. Does he limp hands like 45 UTG+1? Does he overbet when he misses/hits? You checked the river after betting flop and turn so he could be making a move. With zero read I guess you fold.

I raise 66 preflop here most of the time btw.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by r8ed

Overbets like this are either the nuts or total air. A read will determine which. Does he limp hands like 45 UTG+1? Does he overbet when he misses/hits? You checked the river after betting flop and turn so he could be making a move. With zero read I guess you fold.

I raise 66 preflop here most of the time btw.

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In position I would raise 66 here every time, but at these limits being OOP with 66 without a set on the flop can get really ugly when they call me down with anything and I don't know where I stand.

And I could only put him on 57 or nothing at all, so I called. He turned up 59s for a flopped gutshot and a turned double gutter. Oh well, lesson learned.

I'm thinking that IF you did lose this hand, you lost it on the turn when the 4 came.

I'm going to put villian on 75 for his turned straight.

65? 85? 52? Hmm... if you're beat I think you lost on the turn and that river card just makes it THAT much easier to fold.

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Just saw the results. 95s was surprising, jeje, but I still think this deserved a fold. :(
A lesson I've learned is that I will NOT lose my stack in unraised pots!!