AKo facing aggression from tighty IP

Villain is 8/6 over 130 hands no reads

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($208.95)
Button ($86.35)
SB ($200)
BB ($264)
UTG ($208.20)
Hero (UTG+1) ($200)
MP1 ($115)
MP2 ($242.85)
MP3 ($215)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif
1 fold, Hero bets $8, 3 folds, CO calls $8, 2 folds, BB calls $6

Flop: ($25) 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (3 players)
BB bets $20, Hero calls $20, 1 fold

Turn: ($65) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif (2 players)
BB bets $40, Hero calls $40

River: ($145) 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
BB bets $196 (All-In), Hero? ($132)

GOD
I think you need to fold but it's so gay

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 24.659% 09.66% 15.00% 85 132.00 { AsKh }
Hand 1: 75.341% 60.34% 15.00% 531 132.00 { JJ, 22, AKs, AJs, QhJh, Th9h, AKo, AJo }

This was calculated for the turn and feels somewhat optimistic given a player this tight likely isn't calling a SC like QJ/T9 oop here (I guess).

I don't think I'd fold the flop...but it looks like we should on the turn
Thoughts?

standard then fold

fold turn.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by jessyj

fold turn.

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Fold flop, yeah I went there.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by mcatdog

Fold flop, yeah I went there.

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fold pre mirite

Quote:

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Originally Posted by mcatdog

Fold flop, yeah I went there.

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The more I thought about this the more I liked it.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Bbickes

Quote:

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Originally Posted by mcatdog

Fold flop, yeah I went there.

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The more I thought about this the more I liked it.

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Same here.. 8/6 just really isn't leading anything we beat. He has JJ/22 like always.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by mcatdog

Fold flop, yeah I went there.

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oh no you didn't

I probably fold turn like 60% of the time or so and river 90ish%

problem with folding flop is that even though i run 16/13'ish, there are tables where i run 5/3 over 100 hands. i dont think 180 hands is really a fair assessment

fold turn imo but folding flop is interesting and may be correct with a larger sample

I think raise flop then shut down if called.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by mxiu

problem with folding flop is that even though i run 16/13'ish, there are tables where i run 5/3 over 100 hands. i dont think 180 hands is really a fair assessment

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+1

Quote:

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Originally Posted by hopeful

I think raise flop then shut down if called.

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Not intending to be offensive here, but what is with tournament players and 'raising for information'? I'm assuming this is what you mean, and I don't see any reason to.

his line suggests he has you beaten. Sets are clearly in his range but i think people under-estimate AJ here - playing it fast on a board you likely hit?

id certainly call flop - im not in mcats school of folding outright on flop but i can see its merits but i think turn is 100% fold.

Yeah I agree that flop fold can correct with this betsizing, however there is no way I fold this in play given the sample size. I think he will check everything we beat or tie(draws/ ak/aq although clearly he very rarely has a draw) so it's quite easy to play the turn. It is a really interesting idea though, and may be correct...

i change my mind

call flop fold turn

yay i learnded