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 Originally Posted by Fnord
 Originally Posted by dsaxton
raise-bluffing a calling station is almost always a mistake.
No wonder you suck at reads. Players that call more than they should and calling stations are very different profiles. You can still bluff out players who call too much, you just have to be more careful picking your spots. I do it all the time in limit games. Most players won't call with air. By virtue of playing a lot of hands, they're quite often left with just air.
 Originally Posted by dsaxton
Why is it good that there's lots of money behind when you have a weak pair draw with an inside straight draw, with zero implied odds if your straight card happens to put a three flush on the board, and may even cost you money if you run into a flush?
Putting him on a flush draw based on a PFR + weak continuation bet sucks. I'm taking all 4 gutshot outs to the felt against his 52bb stack and expect to show a profit.
 Originally Posted by dsaxton
As for drawing to one pair, are you just hoping you'll be able to just check the hand down out of position after hitting one pair, or would you just keep check-calling with top pair with a ten or jack kicker? You could easily be faced with a substantial bet on the turn after hitting one of your supposed outs. What do you do then?
If I hit a pair, I still have my gutter and re-draws to 2pr or trips (if my hand isn't already good.) Given the player profile I expect another weak bet on the turn if I call the flop and can easily let this go to a big bet. A weak player is exactly the kind of guy I expect to get a cheap showdown out of if my hand is good.
Finally, if I don't make these calls/raises, I make it correct for opponents to make small raises pre-flop then small bets on every street (which is how most players in these games at PS are playing) because they fold out my pot equity whenever it's close. The mistake they're making is that they are giving me (implied) pot odds to draw (particularly if they can't make a laydown) and have given me a good value proposition when playing back at them.
It's a cash game, no reason to fold out close spots due to risk.
Then again, maybe I should fire up 8 tables and play 10% VP$IP/2% PFR poker and never put myself into difficult post-flop spots.
Clearly I suck at reading hands/styles since I stated that it's usually a mistake to raise-bluff a calling station (which is a fact, does anyone who acknowledges this suck at reads?). That's brilliant logic.
Where did I say I put him on a flush draw?
Was his all-in raise on the turn weak? He wasn't even willing to fold whiffed overcards after being check-raised on the flop, and then raised all-in when you said you expected a weak action. So much for your sophisticated player profile and great reads.
I mean, you classify a player as a loose calling station, and then you start trying to make plays on him. How does this make any sense? You win his money by turning over a hand after he calls you down with overcards, not by hoping for an unlikely fold which involves an amount of risk disproprotionate to what you expect to win.
You don't fold hands in "close spots" (I'm not sure your unimproved jack high against random overcards or an overpair is a close spot, but ok) because of risk. You fold when you can't rationally expect a profit in a situation, like when you have no pair, a crappy draw and are out of position facing a preflop raiser / calling station. How is this not obvious to you?
Don't get pissy when someone points out that your post-flop play / hand analysis were lame. You yourself even admitted you haven't been able to move up to higher levels because of leaks in your game. Maybe you should actually listen when someone has a criticism.
I'm just curious, how much time do you spend studying $50 NL opponents before you realize that the way you beat them is to make a hand and bet it, and not try silly bluffs that only work against better players?
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