I'm spinning my picks off from ensign_lee's thread for convenience. A little background... I've been sportsbetting for about 10 years now. Started with a real, Italian mafia-type bookie and then moved online a couple of years later. I've had good seasons and bad seasons, but would honestly estimate I'm up ~$3K over my "career". I mostly bet on the NFL, but have dabbled with the NBA. Last year was the best season I've ever had, up ~$800 on the NFL. Then I discovered poker and decided it was much more +EV, with lower variance, and said I wouldn't do any sportsbetting this year. But, the Mansion bet came along, I cashed big, and left some $ in my Mansion account to play with.

So far this year I'm 5-1 in straight wagers, and 3-0 in 2-team teasers at Mansion, for a total of +12 units. My units are $30, which is 1-2% of my total gambling BR, per sportsbetting BR management guidelines.

Despite my experience sportsbetting, I'm still a noob. For example, I almost never bet teasers until this season, because I had always heard that they're sucker bets. But since ensign_lee pointed out that Mansion has the only even-money two-team teasers around and I started reading 2+2 threads about Wong teasers (when the spread crosses the 3 and the 7) I've been jumping all over them. In fact, the only three plays I have so far this week are Wong teasers:

2-team teasers (+100) @ Mansion - 1 unit each (home in caps)

ATL (-1.5) vs. Ari
OAK (+8.5) vs. Cle

ATL (-1.5) vs. Ari
BAL (+8.5) vs. Sdg

OAK (+8.5) vs. Cle
BAL (+8.5) vs. Sdg

I really like the Baltimore and Atlanta games, especially with the spread 6 points in my favor. Mora will have Atlanta ready to play after last night and I don't have any faith in Leinart making his first start for Arizona on the road. San Diego is going to be tough, but I'll take Baltimore at home, with their defense, getting 8.5 points all day long. Which brings me to the Oakland game... I hate Oakland this year, I think Art Shell and Aaron Brooks are both terrible. BUT, home underdogs are some of the best NFL value around, AND Cleveland's terrible too, AND it's a Wong teaser, so I'm taking it.

I don't know what else I'm going to play this week. If I can't find any straight wagers I like, I'm going to bump the ATL/BAL teaser up to 2 units. These games are tempting, but I haven't decided definitely yet:

Min (+1) vs. BUF
Jac (-2.5) vs. WAS
NYJ (+9) vs. Ind

And if the Eagles line against the Packers dropped below 10, that would be very tempting. I doubt that's going to happen though.