Spent way too much time working on this to where it's hurting my head. Someone check my math. It's a chart showing the win rate assuming you win 66% of all heads up matches, comparing results of running single table heads up vs 4 man heads up. I made the table due to contemplation about playing single tables to lower my variance and wanted to see how much profit I'm giving up by doing so long term.
Anyone have any comment regarding the competition at the $30 and under heads up tables in regards to 2man vs 4man? The two mans do fill quicker, and with the decreased variance I am leaning that direction. I'm going to have to figure up my expected VPP per week to see if playing the 2 mans would push me into the next bracket which would cause the difference between 2s and 4s marginal with the rakeback bonuses.
Any thoughts on this are welcome. I keep flipflopping on which one is better long term.