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[10NL] KQo...Complete bluff or give it up?

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  1. #1

    Default [10NL] KQo...Complete bluff or give it up?

    Villain is 26/22/3 over 218 hands. CB 100%, 14/14.

    PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    UTG: $2.50
    MP: $10.00
    Hero (CO): $11.03
    BTN: $12.20
    SB: $10.00
    BB: $10.58

    SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

    Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Q K

    fold, MP raises to $0.35, Hero calls $0.35, fold, fold, fold

    Flop: ($0.85, 2 players) 6 T A
    MP bets $0.54, Hero raises to $1.85, MP calls $1.31

    Turn: ($4.55, 2 players) 9
    MP checks, Hero bets $2.95, MP calls $2.95

    River: ($10.45, 2 players) 7
    MP checks, Hero ???

    How is the line overall here? Good/bad?

    Also, I feel I have very little FE on the river with 1/2 PSB behind, can't see villain folding getting better than 3-1 if I shove, so better to just give it up?
    Currently grinding live cash games. Life is good.
  2. #2
    Flop raise is unnecessarily big. I'd rather just float here IP vs someone c-betting 100%, I don't think this kind of texture gets barrelled too much. If I did raise I'd be making it like 1.40.
  3. #3
    I agree with Carroters on flop sizing being too big. It looks very draw/bluffy so big. So the only good thing about that is that now the draw comes in. I would expect someone with those stats to be b/3b hands like KQdd/KJdd/QJdd/78dd/6xdd given these are all combo draws on this board, so he has very few flushes imo.

    Sizing is really important when you're going to run a multi-street play. The entire execution of a bluff can come down to the sizing you choose on earlier streets and how much stack you leave behind for yourself. You've left yourself less than half pot now in a spot you want to bluff which is not ideal.

    I think this is a decent spot board/range wise to bluff, because he has a lot of AxKd, AxQd, AxJd and some A6 sometimes that will c/f river given better sizing.

    raise to $1.40 flop
    <pot on turn is 3.6>
    turn bet $2.45 into $3.60
    <pot on river is 8.50>
    shove river $6.75 into $8.50

    <edit: my bad, villain is shorter than us. I would potentially make it even smaller on the turn, but if we make it smaller on the turn we are widening his calling range so we really need to follow through on the river>
    Last edited by griffey24; 08-22-2013 at 09:33 AM.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  4. #4
    Obviously, you don't have anything but you don't know if he does either. I'd check or maybe bluff by betting 2/3 of the pot.

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