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Are these bet sizes and EV calc correct.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com/
Hero (Button) ($1.88)
SB ($1.43)
BB ($2.26)
UTG ($1.49)
MP ($0.96)
CO ($1.85)
Preflop: Hero is Button with J , Q
2 folds, CO raises to $0.04, Hero calls $0.04, 2 folds
Flop: ($0.11) 9 , A , 10 (2 players)
CO bets $0.06, Hero raises to $0.18, CO raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1.84 (All-In), CO calls $1.51 (All-In)
Turn: ($3.73) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)
River: ($3.73) 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: $3.73 | Rake: $0.13
No stats as was playing on laptop.
Fairly early on in session, no reason to believe villain was betting the flop with a wider range than you'd expect from a standard 2nl villain also no reason to believe he'd be checking any of his strong hands. When he 3bets me on the flop I have no reason to think he's got a weak range I think it's very strong but I still think I have fold equity, folding out the bottom of his raising range.
Villain's calling range when I shove: AA,TT-99,ATs-A9s,T9s,AhKh,8h7h,ATo
This gives me 46.52% equity according to Equilab.
I thought villain was 3betting 44 combos and calling 27 so his fold% is 38%
Outcomes:
I shove villain calls I win: (62/100)(0.465)(2.14)
I shove villain calls I lose: (62/100)(0.535)(-1.51)
I shove villain folds I win: (38/100)(0.63)
EV = 0.62 + -0.5 + 0.24 = +$0.36
I always get confused adding up the bets, I assumed my shove was for $1.51 since that's what villain called, and I added the blinds 0.03 and his 3bet and my call, 2x0.30 for a total of 0.63 of a pot I'd win if he folded.
Is that right also is the mechanics of the ev calc correct?
The %'s add up so I assume it is right - 0.2883 + 0.3317 + 0.38 = 1
Thoughts?
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