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Here I try to play poker. AJs bvb.
Villain is a 30/25 with a 57 ATS and 1 AF and 70% cbet. History, Ive 3bet him light a couple of times preflop in this spot fairly early, and then quietened down a little, but I picked up AK and AQ within the last few orbits and 3bet both. He folded both.
My thinkings and questions:
Firstly, I would usually just 3bet this preflop. But Im trying to learn how to play pots where I call in the blinds OOP and dont just fit or fold when my hand is way ahead of his range.
On the flop I think he could easily have any 2 overcards, as well as things like 34s-89s, (and probably their offsuit counterparts) and 22-AA. 69s, 79s etc. and other random gutshots are also likely. Although history and the board may make him think Im likely to play back, I still think I make him fold his totally missed air including AK/AQ, and probably like 22 maybe 34 or some of the really crappy pairs. Thats a lot of hands. However, I still think his flop calling range is relatively weak, and there are a tonne of overcards that can come plus we have 2 overcards, a backdoor flush draw and a backdoor straight draw so our equity isnt terrible.
So question 1: Is the raise flop raise ok given im not often giving up when called?
The offsuit Q on the turn is like the best card that misses me, but I think my sizing is a bit small. $6.50 here? I was trying to leave a near pot bet for the river and I think I probably sacrificed too much FE here. Still, he *should* fold his lower pairs and gutshots, and may find it difficult to call with something like 89.
So question 2: Good barrel?
Id have prefered an A, K or J on the river, but the 2 is unlikely to have improved his range which was already pretty weak. Almost none of the straight draws picked up a pair.
So question 3: Do I shove and hope to fold A8, 99-JJ, draws and bleurgh? Or shut my eyes, check and hope A high is good?
Influencing factors: 1) If he has a missed draw worse than A high I dont think he will bluff me very often at all.
2) I dont think hed call the flop raise with KQ ever really.
The hand:
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($28.95)
MP ($26.80)
CO ($46.10)
Button ($36.35)
SB ($115.55)
Hero (BB) ($27.05)
Preflop: Hero is BB with J , A
3 folds, Button bets $0.75, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.60) 5 , 8 , 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $1, Hero raises to $3.50, Button calls $2.50
Turn: ($8.60) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $5, Button calls $5
River: ($18.60) 2 (2 players)
Hero $17.80 behind.
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