A triple barrel vs a random TAG

[Numbr2intheWorld]

Turns a good bet rivers bad. I think i';d bluff every card except a K. It's a card he probably perceives that you'll bluff and could easily hero call + he may already have a nut hand

[minSim]

Turns a good bet rivers bad. I think i';d bluff every card except a K. It's a card he probably perceives that you'll bluff and could easily hero call + he may already have a nut hand

Do you assume the turn bet already is folding a decent amount of pocket pairs <9x?

Or is it just that we're having a decent amount of equity ont the turn and villain could have floated the flop and fold some low PP's, so in all it's +EV to bet. And on the river his range is 9x-QQ(not folding)+nutted hands mostly?