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Alpine,
While I think you make some valid points we are facing a raise from someone who is presumably opening wide and they are on the button. If a tighter player opened in mp or anyone who wasn't crazy opened in early then i think a fold is reasonable.
regarding the crai on flop and the "oops" if he has a hand. well that's going to happen some portion of the time.. LDO. But if that's your reasoning for c/f to cbets from a raiser with a wide range on the button I don't like that thinking.
@general discussion:
I really hate stack setups here. we can't play hit/miss vs villain if we call (bad option)
if we 3bet we're pretty much commited. and if we shove we (read dependant) often don't get called by worse. With reads that button will call like A8s+ A9o and maybe a King or 2 I really don't mind a plain shove. It'd be nicer if stacks were shorter but there's not much we can do. I think we get alot of folds / some races / and are dominated by a relatively small portion of his opening range.
so I think it's usually shove (or 3bet to a reasonable size looking to stack it)>fold>call
vs a reasonably aggressive player.
edit: I put this into sng wiz and it suggests shoving 77++,AQ+,AJs,KQs
vs a button open of 30% and callings 8% (66++,ATs+,AJo+)
It actually suggests almost the same shvoing range if he calls 44,A8s,AT,KQs
either way your hand is actually plus .20 edge, it's just less than the suggested .25 which it defaults to.
However with a calling range of 88++, AQ+, ATs wiz actually suggests we shove a very wide range to resteal and AJ is +.35.
I guess it's pretty close and with reads you could argue for any action. At a 6.50 I think we can go for a shove. He may also be opening more than 30% (which doesn't include QTo, J9s and the like)
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