|
|
 Originally Posted by Raoni_Poker
In my modest micro-staker opinion (giving opinions it is always a nice way to learn), I think he shoved the river because your range was pretty obvious to him on the river. Check turn, check river isnt strong enough to call a river shove and he realized this.
He puts you on either a missed FD or an overpair (UTG raise) and he can make most of this range fold to a river shove with anything. He noticed that you were willing to go to a cheap showdown or catch a draw on the river.
The problem with his line is that he is also playing with his cards faces up. With a a hand with showdown value, he would not shove river as he did (from which hands he is extracting value with such a bet if he has a reasonable hand here?).
Probably some players at these stakes have adjusted to this and occasionally are able to make shoves like this occasionally with strong hands. However, I think this is not be the case here.
Good call
This is very good analysis. As a comment I'd say he may have thought given a fd on the flop and two flush draws on the turn that we would have raised a nut hand on the flop or turn. Also, mid and high stakes players have adjusted strongly to the vbet vs all in logic. Most players show balance by shoving with air and nut hands.
Despite some logic being very convincing to warrant a call, there is also logic against it, one of them being the obvious missed flush draw.
Nonetheless, sometimes we can't give as much credit to what is going on in someones head as we can to combinations of nut hands and combinations of air/missed draws hands that are our opponents range. Certainly, lots of missed fds and air, not many nut hands (JJ, 99, 22)
|
Reply With Quote
