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 Originally Posted by pocketfours
The fact that you can defend here profitably at high stakes with image and meta considerations is pretty irrelevant. Against a 22/17/6% TAG at 100nl your just fucked here and he is going to put you on exactly Q9dd when you flat anyway.
Yeah I guess the odds are pretty good since we only bet small for some stupid reason and the raise wasn't too big either, so sure this is pretty much a whatever spot but I'm pretty f****** sure that OP is going to loose money on this call.
so you think our perceived range here is only Q9dd?
I'm pretty sure villian will see our range as being better. I think it is important to note what villians range could be I don't think anyone has really done that. He is reraising and betting for half pot on the. To me it looks like villian is possibly setting up a river for a shove So he probably has a hand like JTs+, KQs, a set, 67dd,
I feel like our best play here is probably to shove, as long as we can find stats that say villian is very capable of folding here (such as not a tagfish) That K I believe is a great scare card so villian can put us on a hand like AK, KT+, maybe even a set as well. And even if he does call you still have plenty of cards to come to help you out on the river.
However I don't think you should shove here unless you would also shove here with made hands.
What do you guys think?
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