200nl KQo 3betpot OOP vs Lagg

[sauce123]

of COURSE we bet turn, but do we call a jam ??

[griffey24]

of COURSE we bet turn, but do we call a jam ??

I can't imagine calling a jam here,but maybe I'm missing something.

From what I can tell at lower stakes, people are more likely to either raise their draw on flop or call down. At higher stakes I've seen more people call flop with draws and jam turns.

[JL]

of COURSE we bet turn, but do we call a jam ??

I think it's close and depends on what our bet size is.
If we be $50 on the turn and he jams, then we need ~28% equity to call.
Now it all depends what his range is.

With a tight range of sets, two pair, overpairs, and TPTK, we have to fold:

Board: Th 9s 2s 4d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 12.208% 12.21% 00.00% 188 0.00 { KcQd }
Hand 1: 87.792% 87.79% 00.00% 1352 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, ATs, T9s }

With a wide range with almost every possible flush draw, it becomes a call:

Board: Th 9s 2s 4d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.782% 28.16% 00.62% 793 17.50 { KcQd }
Hand 1: 71.218% 70.60% 00.62% 1988 17.50 { 99+, 44, 22, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, ATs, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, QJs, QsTs, JsTs, T9s, Ts8s, 8s7s, 7s6s, QJo }

However, I'd expect him to raise a lot of these draws on the flop, so I'm going to say that it's a fold...unless we bet like $70+.