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 Originally Posted by Verto
Well, at river, you need to win this pot at showdown once in three times to break even. Personally I think you'll struggle to get 15% equity against any realistic range. The only hand I can even imagine he can be playing this strong that we beat is AT, but even then, if this guy overvalues top pair tens top kicker this much, I'd expect him to spazz pre with it. It's unlikely a flush draw plays like this, if it is it's a great level. This is two pair or better like nine times in ten. So to answer your question, I'd say calling this river bet is hugely -ev.
 Originally Posted by Verto
Do you agree with my play up to this point also?
No, just raise ffs. When aces get busted by the big blind after they were limped, everyone at the table is laughing. Limped aces deserve busting.
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