Are those stats biased by short-handedness = have you got your hud set up so that it only displays stats from hands with >6 players once you're 9-handed? this is pretty important in this spot.
I think that villain's 7% 3b combined with an opener having a very high fold to 3b is important here - surely he'll squeeze TT-QQ a non-zero amount = i discount these hands some. vs the nut flush draw you are about 60%. Shove would be pretty stupid with 88/TT with that many players in, and i don't think you can be confident that he's that stupid.
I like a fold cos we both know i'm a nit, although that is complicated by the fact that i'm a station, so maybe in game i'd call. It's close.
Board: 9s 4s 4h
Dead:
Hand 0: 58.400% 58.40% 00.00% 10985 0.00 { QcQs, QhQs, JdJh, JhJs, TcTs, TdTs, 99, 44, AsQs, AsJs, A4s, As3s, 64s, 54s}
Hand 1: 41.600% 41.60% 00.00% 7825 0.00 { KcKh }
edit: what's with your sizing in the first hand? like, you never really have a nut hand when you do this on this board.
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