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 Originally Posted by HoopyDude
Can you guys explain why you think you think this?
Because his range at this point is pretty exclusively air or Kx(or better). The draws that missed that he can hold rep an extremely thin range seeing as how the flop was a rainbow and we hold the As which takes away some BDs fds he may have floated the flop with and picked up equity on the turn. QT is the only legitimate straight draw he could have and I don't think that even calls when the turn pairs (most people give up their draws on paired turns unless they have a pair as well).
While he may be calling flop/turn with Jx or 8x neither of those is ever betting the river.
You either make the decision to bet for thin value on the river thinking that he doesn't hold that many Kx and that Jx 8x PPs are calling or you decide to check and fold to any bet putting him on the range I outlined in the first paragraph.
Bluff catching only works if a lot of their range is made of bluffs, otherwise it's just burning money. Hope that helps.
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