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Misplayed AKs, now what: nut flush facing river c/r on paired board?

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  1. #1
    i can't imagine he ever shows up with AA/KK/JhXh. 77-99 is infinitely more likely.
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by reDZill4 View Post
    i can't imagine he ever shows up with AA/KK/JhXh. 77-99 is infinitely more likely.
    confirm my thinking here?

    this is because AA/KK should always raise on either flop or turn..

    Jx is a stupid hand to raise from the SB and then chase a flush with.

    77-99 are all calling down because they have showdown value vs missed overs like AK and will also be able to bluff a lot of rivers here.

    ..because he's called on the flop and turn he thinks that we think he's drawing, and the flush has hit so he can bluff us of any hand that isnt a FH or nut flush.

    finally, we can only call on river because J high flush isnt in his range, and therefore we are facing a range consisting of bluffs, FH maybe trips with 9T. we obviously beat bluffs and trips and they wont call a shove? so the only hand calling is a FH therefore there is little or no value in shoving this river, but decent equity vs a range that consists of several hands we do beat?

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