Quote Originally Posted by The Bean Counter View Post
Does this seem like a fair range for a passive post-flop player?
Why did you choose that range for Villain? Why is there only 1 Villain in your equity calc?

I think if UTG is positionally aware, then start with the overall 23/18 and cut it in half. So VPIP is ~ 12%
{ 77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+ }

If button is 19/7, then just go with the 19% VPIP
{ 66+,A4s+,K8s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,A9o+,KTo+,QTo+ }

Then crank the button's range up to ~40% and see what changes.

Pot Odds:
assuming UTG will fold:
2.20/(0.95 + 0.90 + 2.20 + 2.20) ~= 35%
Hero only needs 35% equity to make a call.

assuming UTG will call:
2.20/(0.95 + 2.20 + 2.20 + 2.20) ~= 29%
Hero only needs 29% equity to make a call.

Even after Villain's ranges are narrowed to overpair or better, no matter if one or both villains stay in the pot, I can't find a scenario where Hero has less than 44% equity.

Hand equity greater than pot odds = not folding.