Folding a set 100NL

[Carroters]

I think this is good, just want a line check though. Flatting the flop seems mandatory with the fish behind. Villain's river timing was very fast. I can't see this nit shoving too much worse for value, maybe 33 but that's about it. Think I'm getting shown a flush here almost always.

PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 40 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 18.06, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 72)
SB: 61.87 BB (VPIP: 70.59, PFR: 7.84, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 51)
BB: 105.07 BB (VPIP: 14.47, PFR: 10.06, 3Bet Preflop: 3.08, Hands: 165)
UTG: 117.64 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 27.03, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 114)
Hero (CO): 101.47 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 7

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9 BB, 3 players) 7 3 Q
SB checks, BB bets 6.45 BB, Hero calls 6.45 BB, SB calls 6.45 BB

Turn: (28.35 BB, 3 players) 8
SB checks, BB bets 20.3 BB, Hero calls 20.3 BB, fold

River: (68.95 BB, 2 players) 4
BB bets 75.32 BB and is all-in, fold

BB wins 66.15 BB

[rpm]

i think i'm more inclined to raise the flop. villain's a nit, his range is likely quite strong (fair assumption?), we crush it, and the fish probably wont fold TOO much more to bet+raise than he would a single bet.

as played i'd do the everything else the same

[Carroters]

i think i'm more inclined to raise the flop. villain's a nit, his range is likely quite strong (fair assumption?), we crush it, and the fish probably wont fold TOO much more to bet+raise than he would a single bet.

as played i'd do the everything else the same

I'm not sure about that, I think fish can fold weak top pairs much more easily when it goes bet/raise here "my kicker must be no good" they say! Moreover a raise just looks insanely strong with a fish behind and I don't want this nit hero folding KQ AQ etc that I'm, defo getting bets from on most turns and some rivers. Pot size should also take care of itself when I flat it being 3 way with a bet already.

[jackvance]

nh

[rpm]

I'm not sure about that, I think fish can fold weak top pairs much more easily when it goes bet/raise here "my kicker must be no good" they say! Moreover a raise just looks insanely strong with a fish behind and I don't want this nit hero folding KQ AQ etc that I'm, defo getting bets from on most turns and some rivers. Pot size should also take care of itself when I flat it being 3 way with a bet already.

good point in bold. i'm converted.

[surviva316]

It doesn't look like he'd 3b AQ preflop, and it seems like he would lead flop and turn with it. Not sure if he'd snap overshove river with it though.

I obviously don't think this is a bluff ever from this player, especially since there's no reason we can't have the nuts.