Thanks for the comments guys.
@P4s, yeah I really think I put way too much money in the pot on earlier streets when later streets are going to be a minefield/really hard to play well or find a good plan on. I think I should definitely just fold the turn since guessing rivers with 4th pair is just going to be gruesome. My red line is gross, kind of always has been as I my blue line is responsible for making up for that and then contributing some win rate, but yeah I can defo minimise turn spew which is a definite recurring theme.
Could you elaborate on why you just want to call river in H3?
@Surviva, H1, I'm bluffing here not value betting as I think there are a bunch of boradway combos like QJ QT KJ KT that can fold. Maybe this is optimistic but I don't think I ever have the best hand and this kind of line gets some credit from many regs as people don't take it as a bluff. His range is pretty capped on the turn and surely contains mostly 2nd and 3rd pairs and not too much else as he bets the turn with better stuff and worse stuff. I guess he also has Ax suited but maybe he golfs that sometimes too (maybe this is way too optimistic)
H2, almost noone seems to value bet thinly enough at 100NL, I'd honestly be pretty surprised to see something like 99 here let alone 8x or worse. This is why I bluff catch a fair bit, people just fail at value betting. That I'd say is one of the most useful population reads in these games.
@JV, Yeah I went to tomorrow and played them then came back to find out what to do for when it's tomorrow again.
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