Here's the start of what I've got, just not sure if this is right.
Assumptions
1)SB always folds
2)BB 3bets/folds to an open
3)BB 5bets/folds to a 4bet
4)Villain 3bets 12.8% (is more than this in this spot so conservative)
5)Villain 5bet shoves 2.56% (QQ+ & AK)
6)Bets go like this, 2.5bb -> 9bb -> 30bb -> 100bb
So to start off with we open 2.5bb and villain folds 87.2% of the time.
As 2.5/4 = 62.5% this means that we can open ATC profitably and fold to a 3bet and profit.
When we 4bet, we make it 30bb. So 27.5/39.5 = 70%, so if villain is folding > 70% of his range we can 4bet ATC profitably.
2.56/12.8 = 20%, so villain is folding 80%.
So in this scenario although it's obviously not optimal does this mean that we can open 100% and then 4bet 100% and fold every time villain shoves and profit or have I really bollocked something up?
Reply With Quote