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 Originally Posted by griffey24
I don't hate the river raise, but his sizing is pretty scary to me. Small donk on flop, and then turn and then whamm strong on river feels boatish to me. If he would have bet like $2.25-50ish I would feel more comfortable raising the river here.
If you're capable of raise/folding to a shove, then I still don't mind the raise. Unfortunately I feel like we often raise/call and lose in this spot out of stubbornness, which probably eats into the EV of the raise in the first place.
Excellent analysis. I think the big bet on the river should have been a warning sign, but I didn't heed it. Like you said, I still don't mind the raise provided I'm not dumb enough to call it off when he shoves, which I was.
The second part of what you said about raise/folding also rings very true - I feel really bad that I raise/called here. I mean, he showed up with J7o, which given my read of him as a fish and the fact that the action up until the river was inconsistent with any strong holding was not really a surprise to me, but it just seemed such a small part of his range that I couldn't bring myself to fold even though I strongly suspected as I clicked the call button that I was about to get shown J7.
I feel like I got fancy play syndrome here, and was too sure that I had it right about him having a weak hand on the flop and turn, well I was right but you can't ignore it when someone who is passive suddenly wakes up and I'd feel about 100x better about my river raise if I'd not been too stubborn to fold when he shoved.
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