[10NL] AA...3bet pot and facing flop raise

[griffey24]

If we assume that he's raise / calling always, then it's the equivalent to him jamming on us on the flop and us having to call it off.

In that case we have $7.85 left to call, and the total pot with his jam (~ 10.45 + 1.55 + 1.05 -> 13.05), so 13.05:7.85 gives us 37.6% equity needed.

I'm just looking at the worst case scenario. Worst case scenario is our jam always getting called and him never bluffing, and seeing if we still have enough equity vs his range to jam. Which I think we do.

So yah whether or not calling is profitable is a completely different issue. I just think there are so many awful turn cards that its more likely a hand we would have stacked with good equity slows down (JJ,QQ,KK) than making more money off a hand that would have folded to our jam (some random KQ/KJ/AJ/AQ?)

[Keith]

If we assume that he's raise / calling always, then it's the equivalent to him jamming on us on the flop and us having to call it off.

In that case we have $7.85 left to call, and the total pot with his jam (~ 10.45 + 1.55 + 1.05 -> 13.05), so 13.05:7.85 gives us 37.6% equity needed.

I'm just looking at the worst case scenario. Worst case scenario is our jam always getting called and him never bluffing, and seeing if we still have enough equity vs his range to jam. Which I think we do.

So yah whether or not calling is profitable is a completely different issue. I just think there are so many awful turn cards that its more likely a hand we would have stacked with good equity slows down (JJ,QQ,KK) than making more money off a hand that would have folded to our jam (some random KQ/KJ/AJ/AQ?)

with your range , its only a T on the turn that has us in bad shape against the required equity.


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