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 Originally Posted by ImSavy
What is my range?
AA, 66, AKs, AKo, JQhh
Folding what % of my range makes me exploitable here?
More than 61%.
Where does my current hand fall into this range?
Kind of questionable. 32% of my range is sets, 63% is top 2 pair, so from a purely GTO perspective I need to fold about half my top 2 pair combos to make him indifferent to jamming as a bluff and indifferent to jamming for value.
From a GTO perspective, calling with all my AK combos means I only fold 5% of the time when I have JQhh so that makes me a massive station in this spot.
But - like carroters said, I think contemplating folding top 2 ever here at these stakes probably makes me a big nit.
Then we can also look at what hands we'd add/take from our range to see how we can best exploit people who we know are making mistakes here.
Although I felt this was an interesting spot given the numbers I gave in the OP, I actually stationed this off, and I can't really see how I could ever fold - so intuitively I agree with Carroters that folding would be awful. I was actually more expecting that some people might want to fold given the sizing.
I intuitively feel that a useful "population read" based adjustment to our range is to only fold the 5% of it that's drawing here and just station off all the AK. It seems like quite a big adjustment when you look at it in the context of it meaning I call with 95% of my range, but OTOH my range is super strong so folding much of anything is going to be tough.
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