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[10NL] AKs...Unsure about river

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  1. #1
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    Fold river. I think there's a great possibility that villain is holding Q9o. Rereading the thread I'm kind of surprised that nobody has mentioned this hand. He probably just sucked you out on a straight draw.
    Last edited by Nostalgia; 12-07-2013 at 01:36 PM.
  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nostalgia View Post
    Fold river. I think there's a great possibility that villain is holding Q9o. Rereading the thread I'm kind of surprised that nobody has mentioned this hand. He probably just sucked you out on a straight draw.
    I don't think villain shows up with Q9o very often. Maybe I'm missing some obvious humor here? Help me out.
  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lukie View Post
    I don't think villain shows up with Q9o very often.
    Why not? It would certainly explain the all in river bet after three calls, no? Not really sure what you mean by obvious humor. Nobody else really seems to know what he had either. I just see a lot of random guesses.
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Nostalgia View Post
    Why not? It would certainly explain the all in river bet after three calls, no? Not really sure what you mean by obvious humor. Nobody else really seems to know what he had either. I just see a lot of random guesses.
    It's not an all-in on the river. Also, since he's 18/11 I think Q9o is pretty unlikely to be in his range preflop, and even if it was he's folded to 3/3 cbets so far so it doesn't look like he's chasing backdoor straight draws to the non-nuts too much.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by Nostalgia View Post
    Fold river. I think there's a great possibility that villain is holding Q9o. Rereading the thread I'm kind of surprised that nobody has mentioned this hand. He probably just sucked you out on a straight draw.
    Q9o??

    If someone offered me to wager my entire net worth and house and wife on villain having Q9o, I would snap wager it.

    An 18/11 doesn't call Q9o from UTG+1 vs UTG. And IF somehow he did (which I'd estimate at about 1% chance), he doesn't call the flop with Q9o. And if somehow he did (maybe 5%) he might not even call the turn with it (maybe 5%).

    So 1%*5%*5% = .0025% chance of having Q9o imo. I would love for hero to tell me he called and saw Q9o and then I can re-assess all of my poker understanding.
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