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Thanks for those numbers spoon. I'm happy he has AK in his range right up until he raises turn, so I guess you're saying that if he raises turn half the time with AK, then we're still good to stack him?
Cheers daven...
seems pretty big, guess you don't have a 4b-fold or 4b bluff range here...
Not vs an unknown. 4b sizing here seems about right to ensure his enitre range cannot make any money post flop. Any smaller and he's getting a decent price to setmine vs KK+, and being honest that's probably what my range is, although I'd expect him to think I have at least QQ and AK too.
bet flop if you want to rep AK yo. You look like AA here a lot after that 4b sizing and this check.
I don't think I bet AK here, not in a 4b pot where he hasn't got a great many pocket pairs. What am I hoping he folds? But this doesn't matter, because villain should have no idea how I play AA or AK in this spot. Checking feels weak, which is what I want villain to think. I would expect villain to expect me to cbet AA here close to 100%.
Ok I should be more clear. I don't think I get three streets of value out of anything except AQ. By checking flop I figure I *might* get an extra street off any pocket pairs he does have, such as TT/JJ, when the board runs clean from villain's pov. If I bet flop, I get one street from those hands at best. And I expect him to bet AQ, but if he doesn't, that's fine because I usually still get two streets off him. I feel like checking flop gains extra value off some of his range, at the expense of *maybe* one street from his AQ. And I'm not even sure he has AQ in his range, so that seems like a reasonable sacrifice.
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